These pages were last updated on 16 April 2020 at 16.30 hrs
Testing results
On 9 March 2020, The Director of Public Health, Dr Nicola Brink, announced the first positive case of COVID-19, in the island. See the following media release for more details.
The positive results are a result of infections acquired in UK, France, Tenerife, Mainland Spain, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Jersey and Guernsey.
Hospital Cases
There are currently 6 patients being managed within the PEH with COVID-19. No patients are currently requiring intensive care support.
Deaths
Nine confirmed COVID-19 deaths – COVID-19 positive on laboratory testing / throat swab.
Three presumptive COVID-19 deaths – no laboratory testing or negative laboratory testing, but cause of death thought to be COVID-19 related.
Demographics
On 13th April, an analysis of the 219 confirmed cases showed that:
- 62% of cases were among females; 38% among males;
- Infections have been recorded in individuals aged from 0 to 99;
- 96% of infections have been in adults aged 18 and over; 4% have been among children under age 18.
Recovered
We are defining recovery as having no virus detectable on their nose/throat swab on Day 14.
73 people with proven COVID-19 have been confirmed to have recovered from COVID-19 and have no virus detectable on their nose/throat swab.
Modelling
The graph below indicates trends on a logarithmic scale. On this scale, a straight diagonal upward line indicates exponential growth rate. Here the projected number of cases doubling in two, three and five days is illustrated with the grey dashed lines. This illustrates that the rate of spread in the Bailiwick is starting to decline.
Efficacy of Contact Tracing
The figure below illustrates the number of contact identified per case before and after lockdown was introduced. The lag observed in the number of contacts per case aligns with the average incubation period from the time of infection to the development of symptoms of COVID-19.
COVID-19 contacts
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